Chievo 1-0 Palermo Prediction

ChievoChievo
1 — 0FT
PalermoPalermo

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Chievo

Estimated win chances: Chievo 40.5%, draw 27.8%, Palermo 31.7%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.27Expected goals1.09

From 17 and 17 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 2–18.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellChievo
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

34Cold spellPalermo
Chievo · low scoring · cold formPalermo · cold form

Chievo

5W · 5D · 7L
Recent →LDWLDLWWLLLDDWWLD
Momentum index

Palermo

6W · 3D · 8L
Recent →LDLLDWLWLWLLWDWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapPalermo +1

Chievo

20 pts
29% wins

5W · 5D · 7L · 17 played

For
13
Against
20
Goal diff -7

Palermo

21 pts
35% wins

6W · 3D · 8L · 17 played

For
19
Against
23
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Chievo offensive edge

    Chievo's attack (50%) vs Palermo's defense (33%).

    +17
  • Palermo offensive edge

    Palermo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Chievo50
Palermo50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Chievo67
Palermo33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Chievo37
Palermo34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Chievo84
Palermo16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Chievo30
Palermo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Chievo71
Palermo29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Chievo80
Palermo20
Chievolow scoring · cold form
Palermocold form