Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.29
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Chions 36.7%, draw 26.5%, Este 36.7%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellChions
Weighted momentum
Este arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
49MixedEste
Chions · High-risk / fragile
Chions
2W · 3D · 7LRecent →LLWDLWLLLDDL
Momentum index
Este
5W · 3D · 4LRecent →DWWLDLWLLDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEste +9
Chions
9 pts17% wins
2W · 3D · 7L · 12 played
For12
Against21
Este
18 pts42% wins
5W · 3D · 4L · 12 played
For13
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Chions offensive edge
Chions faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-22 - Este offensive edge
Este's attack (55%) vs Chions's defense (33%).
+22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ChionsHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Chions25%
3Draws
0Este0%