Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.42
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ciervos 1-2 Chilpancingo Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Ciervos 35.7%, draw 25.4%, Chilpancingo 38.9%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellCiervos
Weighted momentum
Chilpancingo arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).
44MixedChilpancingo
Ciervos · High-risk / fragile
Ciervos
4W · 4D · 17LRecent →LLDLWLDWDLWLDLLLLLLWLLLLL
Momentum index
Chilpancingo
8W · 8D · 9LRecent →WLDWWDLLLDDWDDDDWLWLLWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapChilpancingo +16
Ciervos
16 pts16% wins
4W · 4D · 17L · 25 played
For20
Against50
Chilpancingo
32 pts32% wins
8W · 8D · 9L · 25 played
For31
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ciervos offensive edge
Ciervos faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-18 - Chilpancingo offensive edge
Chilpancingo's attack (55%) vs Ciervos's defense (37%).
+18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CiervosHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Ciervos40%
1Draws
2Chilpancingo40%