Goal expectancy
1.14Expected goals1.10
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Cimarrones de Sonora II 1-4 Tecos Prediction
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Cimarrones De Sonora Ii 36.6%, draw 28.8%, Tecos 34.6%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingCimarrones De Sonora Ii
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
62BuildingTecos
Cimarrones De Sonora Ii · Structured / conservative
Cimarrones De Sonora Ii
6W · 2D · 4LRecent →WDDWWWLLWLLW
Momentum index
Tecos
6W · 2D · 4LRecent →WLWWWDWDLLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Cimarrones De Sonora Ii
20 pts50% wins
6W · 2D · 4L · 12 played
For10
Against7
Tecos
20 pts50% wins
6W · 2D · 4L · 12 played
For20
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cimarrones De Sonora Ii offensive edge
Cimarrones De Sonora Ii's attack (25%) vs Tecos's defense (20%).
+5 - Tecos offensive edge
Tecos runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cimarrones De Sonora IiStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Cimarrones De Sonora Ii67%
0Draws
2Tecos33%