Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals0.99
From 39 and 37 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Cimarrones 1-1 Monarcas Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Cimarrones
Estimated win chances: Cimarrones 41.9%, draw 28.6%, Monarcas 29.5%. From 39 and 37 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
52BuildingCimarrones
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
56BuildingMonarcas
Cimarrones · compact defenseMonarcas · compact defense
Cimarrones
17W · 11D · 11LRecent →WLWDLWDLDDWLLWWWLWLDWLDWWWWDDWLLWDDDWWL
Momentum index
Monarcas
17W · 9D · 11LRecent →WWLWWWWLLLDWLWDWDLWDLDDDDWLWWWLWWDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Cimarrones
62 pts44% wins
17W · 11D · 11L · 39 played
For51
Against33
Monarcas
60 pts46% wins
17W · 9D · 11L · 37 played
For47
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cimarrones offensive edge
Cimarrones faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Monarcas offensive edge
Monarcas's attack (70%) vs Cimarrones's defense (67%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cimarronescompact defense
Monarcascompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Cimarrones67%
1Draws
1Monarcas17%