Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals1.34
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Cimarrones 3-2 Monarcas Prediction
Balanced — model leans Cimarrones
Estimated win chances: Cimarrones 39.9%, draw 25.3%, Monarcas 34.9%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedCimarrones
Weighted momentum
Monarcas arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
67BuildingMonarcas
Cimarrones · leaky defenseMonarcas · compact defense · hot form
Cimarrones
3W · 3D · 3LRecent →LDLWWDWLD
Momentum index
Monarcas
5W · 2D · 2LRecent →WDWDWLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMonarcas +5
Cimarrones
12 pts33% wins
3W · 3D · 3L · 9 played
For15
Against16
Monarcas
17 pts56% wins
5W · 2D · 2L · 9 played
For12
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cimarrones offensive edge
Cimarrones faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-32 - Monarcas offensive edge
Monarcas's attack (47%) vs Cimarrones's defense (15%).
+32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cimarronesleaky defense
Monarcascompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Cimarrones63%
2Draws
1Monarcas13%