Goal expectancy
1.91Expected goals1.16
From 19 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Cimarrones 1-2 Tlaxcala Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Cimarrones
Estimated win chances: Cimarrones 54.9%, draw 22.2%, Tlaxcala 22.9%. From 19 and 16 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedCimarrones
Weighted momentum
Cimarrones carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).
21Cold spellTlaxcala
Tlaxcala · High-risk / fragile
Cimarrones
7W · 7D · 5LRecent →DDDLWWDLWWLDLWWDWLD
Momentum index
Tlaxcala
3W · 0D · 13LRecent →LWLLLLLLWWLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Cimarrones
28 pts37% wins
7W · 7D · 5L · 19 played
For34
Against31
Tlaxcala
9 pts19% wins
3W · 0D · 13L · 16 played
For14
Against30
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cimarrones offensive edge
Cimarrones's attack (80%) vs Tlaxcala's defense (62%).
+18 - Tlaxcala offensive edge
Tlaxcala runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
TlaxcalaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Cimarrones71%
0Draws
2Tlaxcala29%