Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals0.81
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Cittadella 3-0 Lecco Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Cittadella
Estimated win chances: Cittadella 49.2%, draw 28.2%, Lecco 22.6%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
100Hot streakCittadella
Weighted momentum
Cittadella carries the sharper recent run (+49 momentum).
51MixedLecco
Cittadella · compact defense · hot formLecco · Structured / conservative
Cittadella
6W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWWWWW
Momentum index
Lecco
2W · 2D · 2LRecent →DWWLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCittadella +10
Cittadella
18 pts100% wins
6W · 0D · 0L · 6 played
For10
Against2
Lecco
8 pts33% wins
2W · 2D · 2L · 6 played
For4
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cittadella offensive edge
Cittadella's attack (67%) vs Lecco's defense (40%).
+27 - Lecco offensive edge
Lecco runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cittadellacompact defense · hot form
LeccoStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Cittadella50%
1Draws
1Lecco25%