Goal expectancy
1.03Expected goals1.00
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Claypole 35.5%, draw 30.6%, Fénix 33.9%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellClaypole
Weighted momentum
Fénix arrives with stronger form weighting (+10 momentum).
41MixedFénix
Claypole · low scoring · cold formFénix · low scoring
Claypole
6W · 7D · 11LRecent →WLLLDDLLWLDLLDLWDWWDWLDL
Momentum index
Fénix
6W · 8D · 10LRecent →DWDDWWLWLDLLLWLLDLLDDWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapFénix +1
Claypole
25 pts25% wins
6W · 7D · 11L · 24 played
For17
Against30
Fénix
26 pts25% wins
6W · 8D · 10L · 24 played
For19
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Claypole offensive edge
Claypole faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-42 - Fénix offensive edge
Fénix's attack (78%) vs Claypole's defense (36%).
+42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Claypolelow scoring · cold form
Fénixlow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Claypole0%
0Draws
3Fénix100%