Clitheroe 4-1 Chasetown Prediction

ClitheroeClitheroe
4 — 1FT
ChasetownChasetown

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Clitheroe

Estimated win chances: Clitheroe 44.9%, draw 24.3%, Chasetown 30.7%. From 25 and 27 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.62Expected goals1.30

From 25 and 27 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.8%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–07.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

46MixedClitheroe
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

47MixedChasetown

Clitheroe

10W · 7D · 8L
Recent →LWDDDWDLLWLLWLWWWDDWLWLDW
Momentum index

Chasetown

11W · 6D · 10L
Recent →LWLWLWWDDLLWDLWWWLLDLLDWDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Clitheroe

37 pts
40% wins

10W · 7D · 8L · 25 played

For
43
Against
37
Goal diff +6

Chasetown

39 pts
41% wins

11W · 6D · 10L · 27 played

For
37
Against
34
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Clitheroe offensive edge

    Clitheroe faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -17
  • Chasetown offensive edge

    Chasetown's attack (57%) vs Clitheroe's defense (40%).

    +17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Clitheroe43
Chasetown57

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Clitheroe40
Chasetown60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Clitheroe46
Chasetown47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Clitheroe16
Chasetown84

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Clitheroe30
Chasetown30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Clitheroe50
Chasetown50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Clitheroe50
Chasetown50

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Clitheroe0%
1Draws
0Chasetown0%

Recent meetings