Goal expectancy
1.02Expected goals1.57
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Colima 24.6%, draw 25.3%, Durango 50.1%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
23Cold spellColima
Weighted momentum
Durango arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).
64BuildingDurango
Colima · High-risk / fragileDurango · compact defense
Colima
6W · 3D · 19LRecent →LLLWLLLLLLLWWLWLWLDLDLLLLLDW
Momentum index
Durango
14W · 10D · 4LRecent →DWWDWWWDDDDWLWDWLWWLLWWWDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDurango +31
Colima
21 pts21% wins
6W · 3D · 19L · 28 played
For29
Against56
Durango
52 pts50% wins
14W · 10D · 4L · 28 played
For46
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Colima offensive edge
Colima faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-27 - Durango offensive edge
Durango's attack (55%) vs Colima's defense (28%).
+27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ColimaHigh-risk / fragile
Durangocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Colima100%
0Draws
0Durango0%