Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals0.99
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Colindres
Estimated win chances: Colindres 49.8%, draw 25.7%, Castro 24.5%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
59BuildingColindres
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
55BuildingCastro
Castro · low scoring
Colindres
7W · 3D · 4LRecent →WWLDLWWLWDWWLD
Momentum index
Castro
6W · 0D · 8LRecent →WLWWLWWWLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapColindres +6
Colindres
24 pts50% wins
7W · 3D · 4L · 14 played
For20
Against15
Castro
18 pts43% wins
6W · 0D · 8L · 14 played
For13
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Colindres offensive edge
Colindres faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-5 - Castro offensive edge
Castro's attack (36%) vs Colindres's defense (31%).
+5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Castrolow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Colindres50%
1Draws
0Castro0%