Concarneau 1-2 Luçon Prediction

ConcarneauConcarneau
1 — 2FT
LuçonLuçon
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ConcarneauConcarneauvsLuçonLuçon

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Luçon

Estimated win chances: Concarneau 33%, draw 26.5%, Luçon 40.5%. From 14 and 13 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.20Expected goals1.36

From 14 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–07.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

54BuildingConcarneau
Weighted momentum

Luçon arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).

77Hot streakLuçon
Luçon · compact defense · hot form

Concarneau

5W · 3D · 6L
Recent →WLWWWDLWLDLLDL
Momentum index

Luçon

8W · 3D · 2L
Recent →WWWDWWLWDWWDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Concarneau

18 pts
36% wins

5W · 3D · 6L · 14 played

For
16
Against
19
Goal diff -3

Luçon

27 pts
62% wins

8W · 3D · 2L · 13 played

For
22
Against
12
Goal diff +10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Concarneau offensive edge

    Concarneau faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -5
  • Luçon offensive edge

    Luçon's attack (55%) vs Concarneau's defense (50%).

    +5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Concarneau45
Luçon55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Concarneau50
Luçon50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Concarneau54
Luçon77

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Concarneau40
Luçon60

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Concarneau30
Luçon30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Concarneau48
Luçon52

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Concarneau0
Luçon0
Luçoncompact defense · hot form