Congo DR 0-2 Uganda Prediction

Congo DRCongo DR
0 — 2FT
UgandaUganda

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Congo Dr

Estimated win chances: Congo Dr 38.9%, draw 28.2%, Uganda 33%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.22Expected goals1.10

From 6 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–111%
  • 0–010%
  • 2–18.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

51MixedCongo Dr
Weighted momentum

Uganda arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).

68Hot streakUganda
Uganda · compact defense · hot form

Congo Dr

2W · 3D · 1L
Recent →WDDLDW
Momentum index

Uganda

4W · 1D · 1L
Recent →LWWWDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapUganda +4

Congo Dr

9 pts
33% wins

2W · 3D · 1L · 6 played

For
8
Against
6
Goal diff +2

Uganda

13 pts
67% wins

4W · 1D · 1L · 6 played

For
7
Against
3
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Congo Dr offensive edge

    Congo Dr faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -18
  • Uganda offensive edge

    Uganda's attack (55%) vs Congo Dr's defense (38%).

    +17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Congo Dr45
Uganda55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Congo Dr38
Uganda63

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Congo Dr51
Uganda68

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Congo Dr14
Uganda84

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Congo Dr30
Uganda30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Congo Dr38
Uganda63

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Congo Dr0
Uganda0
Ugandacompact defense · hot form