Goal expectancy
1.22Expected goals1.38
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Conil
Estimated win chances: Coria Cf 33.1%, draw 26.3%, Conil 40.6%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
16Cold spellCoria Cf
Weighted momentum
Conil arrives with stronger form weighting (+31 momentum).
47MixedConil
Coria Cf · High-risk / fragile
Coria Cf
1W · 1D · 9LRecent →LWLLLLDLLLL
Momentum index
Conil
4W · 2D · 5LRecent →LDWWLWWLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapConil +10
Coria Cf
4 pts9% wins
1W · 1D · 9L · 11 played
For6
Against22
Conil
14 pts36% wins
4W · 2D · 5L · 11 played
For13
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Coria Cf offensive edge
Coria Cf faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-31 - Conil offensive edge
Conil's attack (63%) vs Coria Cf's defense (31%).
+32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Coria CfHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Coria Cf13%
3Draws
4Conil50%