Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.17
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Corinthians 1-1 Cuiaba Prediction
Balanced — model leans Corinthians
Estimated win chances: Corinthians 40.6%, draw 26.8%, Cuiaba 32.5%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
28Cold spellCorinthians
Weighted momentum
Cuiaba arrives with stronger form weighting (+21 momentum).
49MixedCuiaba
Corinthians · low scoring · cold formCuiaba · low scoring
Corinthians
2W · 2D · 5LRecent →LWLDLDLLW
Momentum index
Cuiaba
3W · 2D · 4LRecent →WDWLLWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuiaba +3
Corinthians
8 pts22% wins
2W · 2D · 5L · 9 played
For8
Against14
Cuiaba
11 pts33% wins
3W · 2D · 4L · 9 played
For8
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Corinthians offensive edge
Corinthians faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
0 - Cuiaba offensive edge
Cuiaba runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
0
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Corinthianslow scoring · cold form
Cuiabalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Corinthians75%
0Draws
1Cuiaba25%