Coritiba 3-0 Atletico Goianiense Prediction

CoritibaCoritiba
3 — 0FT
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Coritiba

Estimated win chances: Coritiba 42.4%, draw 26.5%, Atletico Goianiense 31.1%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.39Expected goals1.15

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–08%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

28Cold spellCoritiba
Weighted momentum

Coritiba carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

13Cold spellAtletico Goianiense
Coritiba · High-risk / fragileAtletico Goianiense · low scoring · cold form

Coritiba

1W · 0D · 3L
Recent →LWLL
Momentum index

Atletico Goianiense

0W · 2D · 2L
Recent →LLDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCoritiba +1

Coritiba

3 pts
25% wins

1W · 0D · 3L · 4 played

For
5
Against
8
Goal diff -3

Atletico Goianiense

2 pts
0% wins

0W · 2D · 2L · 4 played

For
1
Against
4
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Coritiba offensive edge

    Coritiba's attack (83%) vs Atletico Goianiense's defense (67%).

    +16
  • Atletico Goianiense offensive edge

    Atletico Goianiense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -16

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Coritiba83
Atletico Goianiense17

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Coritiba33
Atletico Goianiense67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Coritiba28
Atletico Goianiense13

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Coritiba82
Atletico Goianiense18

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Coritiba41
Atletico Goianiense30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Coritiba60
Atletico Goianiense40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Coritiba0
Atletico Goianiense100
CoritibaHigh-risk / fragile
Atletico Goianienselow scoring · cold form