Coritiba 3-1 Fluminense Prediction

CoritibaCoritiba
3 — 1FT
FluminenseFluminense
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CoritibaCoritibavsFluminenseFluminense

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Coritiba

Estimated win chances: Coritiba 45.7%, draw 25.8%, Fluminense 28.5%. From 9 and 8 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.12

From 9 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–08.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

42MixedCoritiba
Weighted momentum

Fluminense arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).

50MixedFluminense
Fluminense · low scoring

Coritiba

3W · 1D · 5L
Recent →LWWLDLWLL
Momentum index

Fluminense

4W · 0D · 4L
Recent →LWWLLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Coritiba

10 pts
33% wins

3W · 1D · 5L · 9 played

For
15
Against
13
Goal diff +2

Fluminense

12 pts
50% wins

4W · 0D · 4L · 8 played

For
7
Against
8
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Coritiba offensive edge

    Coritiba's attack (67%) vs Fluminense's defense (55%).

    +12
  • Fluminense offensive edge

    Fluminense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -12

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Coritiba67
Fluminense33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Coritiba45
Fluminense55

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Coritiba42
Fluminense50

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Coritiba74
Fluminense26

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Coritiba30
Fluminense30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Coritiba54
Fluminense46

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Coritiba0
Fluminense0
Fluminenselow scoring