Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals0.95
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Cortes
Estimated win chances: Cortes 48.7%, draw 26.6%, Ardoi 24.7%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
62BuildingCortes
Weighted momentum
Cortes carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).
35Cold spellArdoi
Cortes · compact defenseArdoi · low scoring · cold form
Cortes
5W · 1D · 2LRecent →LWWDWLWW
Momentum index
Ardoi
2W · 1D · 5LRecent →LWWLLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCortes +9
Cortes
16 pts63% wins
5W · 1D · 2L · 8 played
For9
Against7
Ardoi
7 pts25% wins
2W · 1D · 5L · 8 played
For6
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cortes offensive edge
Cortes's attack (60%) vs Ardoi's defense (42%).
+18 - Ardoi offensive edge
Ardoi runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cortescompact defense
Ardoilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Cortes38%
3Draws
2Ardoi25%