Goal expectancy
1.52Expected goals2.35
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Courcelles 1-4 Molenbaix Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Molenbaix
Estimated win chances: Courcelles 24.4%, draw 19.5%, Molenbaix 56.1%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
7Cold spellCourcelles
Weighted momentum
Molenbaix arrives with stronger form weighting (+44 momentum).
51MixedMolenbaix
Courcelles · High-risk / fragileMolenbaix · leaky defense
Courcelles
1W · 1D · 10LRecent →LLLLLLLLWLLD
Momentum index
Molenbaix
6W · 2D · 4LRecent →LLWWLWWDLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMolenbaix +16
Courcelles
4 pts8% wins
1W · 1D · 10L · 12 played
For13
Against44
Molenbaix
20 pts50% wins
6W · 2D · 4L · 12 played
For30
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Courcelles offensive edge
Courcelles faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-26 - Molenbaix offensive edge
Molenbaix's attack (64%) vs Courcelles's defense (38%).
+26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CourcellesHigh-risk / fragile
Molenbaixleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Courcelles75%
0Draws
1Molenbaix25%