Goal expectancy
1.41Expected goals1.08
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
CRAC 1-0 Nacional MG Prediction
Balanced — model leans Crac
Estimated win chances: Crac 44.5%, draw 26.6%, Nacional Mg 28.8%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingCrac
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
63BuildingNacional Mg
Nacional Mg · Structured / conservative
Crac
4W · 3D · 2LRecent →LWWWLDDDW
Momentum index
Nacional Mg
4W · 4D · 1LRecent →WWLDWDDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNacional Mg +1
Crac
15 pts44% wins
4W · 3D · 2L · 9 played
For16
Against11
Nacional Mg
16 pts44% wins
4W · 4D · 1L · 9 played
For9
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Crac offensive edge
Crac faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Nacional Mg offensive edge
Nacional Mg's attack (41%) vs Crac's defense (38%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nacional MgStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Crac100%
0Draws
0Nacional Mg0%