Goal expectancy
1.22Expected goals1.33
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Ceara
Estimated win chances: Crb 34.1%, draw 26.6%, Ceara 39.3%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
8Cold spellCrb
Weighted momentum
Ceara arrives with stronger form weighting (+48 momentum).
56BuildingCeara
Crb · High-risk / fragileCeara · compact defense
Crb
0W · 2D · 4LRecent →LLLDLD
Momentum index
Ceara
2W · 4D · 0LRecent →DDWWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCeara +8
Crb
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 4L · 6 played
For6
Against11
Ceara
10 pts33% wins
2W · 4D · 0L · 6 played
For8
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Crb offensive edge
Crb faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33 - Ceara offensive edge
Ceara's attack (64%) vs Crb's defense (31%).
+33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CrbHigh-risk / fragile
Cearacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Crb30%
3Draws
4Ceara40%