Goal expectancy
1.47Expected goals1.15
From 3 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Crb
Estimated win chances: Crb 44.5%, draw 25.9%, Penedense 29.6%. From 3 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedCrb
Weighted momentum
Penedense arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
59BuildingPenedense
Penedense · Structured / conservative
Crb
1W · 1D · 1LRecent →LWD
Momentum index
Penedense
2W · 2D · 0LRecent →DDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Crb
4 pts33% wins
1W · 1D · 1L · 3 played
For7
Against4
Penedense
8 pts50% wins
2W · 2D · 0L · 4 played
For4
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Crb offensive edge
Crb faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Penedense offensive edge
Penedense's attack (36%) vs Crb's defense (33%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PenedenseStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Crb0%
0Draws
1Penedense100%