Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals1.13
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Crb
Estimated win chances: Crb 47.8%, draw 25%, Penedense 27.2%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingCrb
Weighted momentum
Penedense arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
64BuildingPenedense
Penedense · compact defense
Crb
2W · 3D · 1LRecent →WDDLWD
Momentum index
Penedense
3W · 3D · 0LRecent →WDDDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPenedense +3
Crb
9 pts33% wins
2W · 3D · 1L · 6 played
For14
Against6
Penedense
12 pts50% wins
3W · 3D · 0L · 6 played
For8
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Crb offensive edge
Crb's attack (67%) vs Penedense's defense (60%).
+7 - Penedense offensive edge
Penedense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Penedensecompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Crb0%
1Draws
1Penedense50%