Goal expectancy
1.10Expected goals1.55
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Krk
Estimated win chances: Cres 27%, draw 25.3%, Krk 47.7%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellCres
Weighted momentum
Krk arrives with stronger form weighting (+44 momentum).
64BuildingKrk
Cres · High-risk / fragileKrk · compact defense
Cres
1W · 2D · 9LRecent →DDLWLLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Krk
5W · 4D · 3LRecent →WWDWWDDLWDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKrk +14
Cres
5 pts8% wins
1W · 2D · 9L · 12 played
For11
Against28
Krk
19 pts42% wins
5W · 4D · 3L · 12 played
For17
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cres offensive edge
Cres faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-35 - Krk offensive edge
Krk's attack (68%) vs Cres's defense (33%).
+35
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CresHigh-risk / fragile
Krkcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Cres50%
2Draws
1Krk17%