Goal expectancy
1.46Expected goals1.33
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Crewe 1-2 Birmingham Prediction
Balanced — model leans Crewe
Estimated win chances: Crewe 40.3%, draw 25.3%, Birmingham 34.4%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
78Hot streakCrewe
Weighted momentum
Birmingham arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
100Hot streakBirmingham
Crewe · hot formBirmingham · compact defense · hot form
Crewe
2W · 1D · 0LRecent →WDW
Momentum index
Birmingham
3W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBirmingham +2
Crewe
7 pts67% wins
2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played
For7
Against3
Birmingham
9 pts100% wins
3W · 0D · 0L · 3 played
For7
Against1
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Crewe offensive edge
Crewe faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-25 - Birmingham offensive edge
Birmingham's attack (50%) vs Crewe's defense (25%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Crewehot form
Birminghamcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Crewe100%
0Draws
0Birmingham0%