Criciuma 0-1 Vila Nova Prediction

CriciumaCriciuma
0 — 1FT
Vila NovaVila Nova
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CriciumaCriciumavsVila NovaVila Nova

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Criciuma 37.2%, draw 29.6%, Vila Nova 33.2%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.11Expected goals1.03

From 29 and 29 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.6%
  • 1–013.2%
  • 0–112.2%
  • 0–011.9%
  • 2–17.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

51MixedCriciuma
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

52BuildingVila Nova
Vila Nova · compact defense

Criciuma

11W · 9D · 9L
Recent →LWDDWLWDDWLLWWLWDDDWWWDWLDLLL
Momentum index

Vila Nova

13W · 8D · 8L
Recent →DLDWLWDWLWWLWWLLWDDWDLWWDWLDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapVila Nova +5

Criciuma

42 pts
38% wins

11W · 9D · 9L · 29 played

For
32
Against
33
Goal diff -1

Vila Nova

47 pts
45% wins

13W · 8D · 8L · 29 played

For
31
Against
23
Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Criciuma offensive edge

    Criciuma's attack (60%) vs Vila Nova's defense (56%).

    +4
  • Vila Nova offensive edge

    Vila Nova runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Criciuma60
Vila Nova40

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Criciuma44
Vila Nova56

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Criciuma51
Vila Nova52

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Criciuma58
Vila Nova42

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Criciuma30
Vila Nova30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Criciuma62
Vila Nova38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Criciuma88
Vila Nova13
Vila Novacompact defense