Cruzeiro 1-1 Fluminense
Key events
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Fluminense- J. Kennedy
- M. Pereira
CruzeiroFT 1–1
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Cruzeiro39.6%
- Draw24.8%
- Fluminense35.6%
Prematch market
Source: 10Bet
- Cruzeiro49.2%
- Draw27.5%
- Fluminense23.4%
Venue
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais · Brazil
- Address
- Avenida Antonio Abrahão Carã 1001, Pampulhas
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 62170
Match
Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
Round 18
- Referee
- Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
- Round
- 18
- Date
Competition
League · Brazil
- Country
- Brazil (BR)
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-01-28 → 2026-12-02
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
72%72%28%28%
Expected goals (xG)
0.0229%0.0571%
Total shots
1100%00%
Shots on target
00%00%
Team form & competition
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- #3 Position
- 60 Points
- 18-6-10 W-D-L
- 55/48 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 3-0 / 2-4
- Worst defeats
- 1-3 / 4-0
- #4 Position
- 54 Points
- 15-9-9 W-D-L
- 52/42 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 1-3
- Worst defeats
- 1-2 / 3-1
Head to head
View all7Cruzeirowins
4Drawsmatches
9Fluminensewins
Recorded meetings: 20 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Cruzeiro 4–2 Fluminense
- Cruzeiro most goals
- Cruzeiro 4–2 Fluminense
- Fluminense most goals
- Fluminense 4–1 Cruzeiro
Match headlines
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Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.
Fluminense created the clearer chances on xG (0.02 vs 0.05, Δ 0.03). Cruzeiro fired more attempts (1 vs 0 shots). Cruzeiro held more of the ball (72% possession).
Cruzeiro outperformed their xG by 1.0 goals (1 scored vs 0.02 xG). Fluminense outperformed their xG by 0.9 goals (1 scored vs 0.05 xG).