Goal expectancy
1.42Expected goals1.00
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Csa
Estimated win chances: Csa 46.7%, draw 26.8%, Penedense 26.5%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
71Hot streakCsa
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
72Hot streakPenedense
Csa · compact defense · hot formPenedense · Structured / conservative
Csa
5W · 1D · 2LRecent →WDWWWLLW
Momentum index
Penedense
5W · 3D · 0LRecent →WDWDDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPenedense +2
Csa
16 pts63% wins
5W · 1D · 2L · 8 played
For19
Against7
Penedense
18 pts63% wins
5W · 3D · 0L · 8 played
For8
Against1
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Csa offensive edge
Csa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17 - Penedense offensive edge
Penedense's attack (17%) vs Csa's defense (0%).
+17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Csacompact defense · hot form
PenedenseStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Csa50%
1Draws
0Penedense0%