Goal expectancy
1.93Expected goals1.09
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
CSE 3-0 Aliança AL Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Cse
Estimated win chances: Cse 56.9%, draw 22%, Aliança Al 21.1%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
84Hot streakCse
Weighted momentum
Cse carries the sharper recent run (+75 momentum).
9Cold spellAliança Al
Cse · hot formAliança Al · High-risk / fragile
Cse
3W · 0D · 1LRecent →WWWL
Momentum index
Aliança Al
0W · 1D · 3LRecent →LDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCse +8
Cse
9 pts75% wins
3W · 0D · 1L · 4 played
For10
Against4
Aliança Al
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 3L · 4 played
For4
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cse offensive edge
Cse's attack (71%) vs Aliança Al's defense (33%).
+38 - Aliança Al offensive edge
Aliança Al runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-38
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Csehot form
Aliança AlHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Cse40%
3Draws
0Aliança Al0%