CSKA Sofia 2-1 Botev Vratsa Prediction

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
2 — 1FT
Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Cska Sofia

Estimated win chances: Cska Sofia 58.5%, draw 23.7%, Botev Vratsa 17.7%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.71Expected goals0.82

From 21 and 21 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014.1%
  • 2–012%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 0–08.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

67BuildingCska Sofia
Weighted momentum

Cska Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).

47MixedBotev Vratsa
Cska Sofia · compact defense · hot form

Cska Sofia

14W · 3D · 4L
Recent →LWWDLWWWDWWLWWDWLWWWW
Momentum index

Botev Vratsa

8W · 3D · 10L
Recent →WLLLWWWWLDLWLDDLWWLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCska Sofia +18

Cska Sofia

45 pts
67% wins

14W · 3D · 4L · 21 played

For
35
Against
10
Goal diff +25

Botev Vratsa

27 pts
38% wins

8W · 3D · 10L · 21 played

For
23
Against
32
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cska Sofia offensive edge

    Cska Sofia's attack (40%) vs Botev Vratsa's defense (38%).

    +2
  • Botev Vratsa offensive edge

    Botev Vratsa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cska Sofia40
Botev Vratsa60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cska Sofia62
Botev Vratsa38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cska Sofia67
Botev Vratsa47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cska Sofia54
Botev Vratsa46

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cska Sofia30
Botev Vratsa30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cska Sofia54
Botev Vratsa46

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cska Sofia100
Botev Vratsa0
Cska Sofiacompact defense · hot form