CSKA Sofia 5-1 Septemvri Sofia Prediction

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
5 — 1FT
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Cska SofiaCska SofiavsSeptemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Cska Sofia

Estimated win chances: Cska Sofia 61.8%, draw 22.9%, Septemvri Sofia 15.3%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.76Expected goals0.74

From 23 and 23 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–015%
  • 2–013.2%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–08.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

64BuildingCska Sofia
Weighted momentum

Cska Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+26 momentum).

38Cold spellSeptemvri Sofia
Cska Sofia · compact defenseSeptemvri Sofia · High-risk / fragile

Cska Sofia

15W · 3D · 5L
Recent →LWLWWDLWWWDWWLWWDWLWWWW
Momentum index

Septemvri Sofia

6W · 3D · 14L
Recent →DWWLWDLWLWLLLLLLLLLLWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCska Sofia +27

Cska Sofia

48 pts
65% wins

15W · 3D · 5L · 23 played

For
37
Against
12
Goal diff +25

Septemvri Sofia

21 pts
26% wins

6W · 3D · 14L · 23 played

For
21
Against
39
Goal diff -18

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cska Sofia offensive edge

    Cska Sofia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -13
  • Septemvri Sofia offensive edge

    Septemvri Sofia's attack (50%) vs Cska Sofia's defense (38%).

    +12

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cska Sofia50
Septemvri Sofia50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cska Sofia38
Septemvri Sofia63

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cska Sofia64
Septemvri Sofia38

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cska Sofia24
Septemvri Sofia74

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cska Sofia30
Septemvri Sofia34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cska Sofia47
Septemvri Sofia53

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cska Sofia100
Septemvri Sofia0
Cska Sofiacompact defense
Septemvri SofiaHigh-risk / fragile