Goal expectancy
1.78Expected goals1.09
From 5 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
CSKA Sofia 4-0 Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Cska Sofia
Estimated win chances: Cska Sofia 53.5%, draw 23.3%, Septemvri Sofia 23.2%. From 5 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
88Hot streakCska Sofia
Weighted momentum
Cska Sofia carries the sharper recent run (+28 momentum).
60BuildingSeptemvri Sofia
Cska Sofia · compact defense · hot form
Cska Sofia
4W · 0D · 1LRecent →WWWWL
Momentum index
Septemvri Sofia
4W · 0D · 2LRecent →WLLWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Cska Sofia
12 pts80% wins
4W · 0D · 1L · 5 played
For13
Against3
Septemvri Sofia
12 pts67% wins
4W · 0D · 2L · 6 played
For9
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cska Sofia offensive edge
Cska Sofia's attack (65%) vs Septemvri Sofia's defense (33%).
+32 - Septemvri Sofia offensive edge
Septemvri Sofia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cska Sofiacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Cska Sofia50%
0Draws
4Septemvri Sofia50%