Goal expectancy
1.62Expected goals0.96
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Cuarte
Estimated win chances: Cuarte 52.8%, draw 24.8%, Binéfar 22.4%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingCuarte
Weighted momentum
Cuarte carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
32Cold spellBinéfar
Cuarte · compact defenseBinéfar · cold form
Cuarte
13W · 9D · 5LRecent →WDDDWDLWWWDLWLWDLWWDDWLDWWW
Momentum index
Binéfar
7W · 9D · 11LRecent →DDLDLWDLLLLDWDDLWWWLLDLDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +18
Cuarte
48 pts48% wins
13W · 9D · 5L · 27 played
For37
Against21
Binéfar
30 pts26% wins
7W · 9D · 11L · 27 played
For32
Against42
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte's attack (57%) vs Binéfar's defense (17%).
+40 - Binéfar offensive edge
Binéfar runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cuartecompact defense
Binéfarcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Cuarte100%
0Draws
0Binéfar0%