Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals0.89
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Cuarte
Estimated win chances: Cuarte 45.5%, draw 28.6%, Brea 25.9%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
52BuildingCuarte
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
47MixedBrea
Cuarte · Structured / conservativeBrea · low scoring
Cuarte
6W · 4D · 4LRecent →WLLWLWDWLWDWDD
Momentum index
Brea
4W · 3D · 7LRecent →WWWLDWLLLLLDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +7
Cuarte
22 pts43% wins
6W · 4D · 4L · 14 played
For11
Against11
Brea
15 pts29% wins
4W · 3D · 7L · 14 played
For12
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-42 - Brea offensive edge
Brea's attack (67%) vs Cuarte's defense (25%).
+42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CuarteStructured / conservative
Brealow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Cuarte67%
1Draws
0Brea0%