Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.00
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Cuarte
Estimated win chances: Cuarte 44.8%, draw 27.5%, Fraga 27.7%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingCuarte
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
55BuildingFraga
Cuarte · Structured / conservative
Cuarte
3W · 4D · 1LRecent →DWLWDWDD
Momentum index
Fraga
3W · 3D · 2LRecent →WDLWWDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +1
Cuarte
13 pts38% wins
3W · 4D · 1L · 8 played
For6
Against4
Fraga
12 pts38% wins
3W · 3D · 2L · 8 played
For11
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-2 - Fraga offensive edge
Fraga's attack (58%) vs Cuarte's defense (56%).
+2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CuarteStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Cuarte67%
1Draws
0Fraga0%