Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.17
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Cuarte
Estimated win chances: Cuarte 44.6%, draw 25.7%, Fraga 29.8%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
47MixedCuarte
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
51MixedFraga
Fraga · compact defense
Cuarte
3W · 2D · 2LRecent →DDWLLWW
Momentum index
Fraga
3W · 3D · 1LRecent →DWLDDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapFraga +1
Cuarte
11 pts43% wins
3W · 2D · 2L · 7 played
For15
Against10
Fraga
12 pts43% wins
3W · 3D · 1L · 7 played
For8
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Fraga offensive edge
Fraga's attack (27%) vs Cuarte's defense (20%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Fragacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Cuarte80%
1Draws
0Fraga0%