Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals0.73
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Cuarte
Estimated win chances: Cuarte 57.7%, draw 25.1%, Illueca 17.2%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
77Hot streakCuarte
Weighted momentum
Cuarte carries the sharper recent run (+43 momentum).
34Cold spellIllueca
Cuarte · compact defense · hot formIllueca · cold form
Cuarte
17W · 10D · 0LRecent →DDWWDWWWWWWWWDWDDWWWDDWWDWD
Momentum index
Illueca
6W · 10D · 11LRecent →WDLWWDLLDLLLLDLLDLLWDWDDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +33
Cuarte
61 pts63% wins
17W · 10D · 0L · 27 played
For34
Against8
Illueca
28 pts22% wins
6W · 10D · 11L · 27 played
For29
Against44
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte's attack (40%) vs Illueca's defense (31%).
+9 - Illueca offensive edge
Illueca runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cuartecompact defense · hot form
Illuecacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Cuarte33%
4Draws
2Illueca22%