Goal expectancy
1.92Expected goals0.83
From 10 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Cuiaba 5-0 Luverdense Prediction
Balanced — model leans Cuiaba
Estimated win chances: Cuiaba 63%, draw 21.4%, Luverdense 15.5%. From 10 and 12 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
89Hot streakCuiaba
Weighted momentum
Cuiaba carries the sharper recent run (+36 momentum).
53BuildingLuverdense
Cuiaba · compact defense · hot formLuverdense · low scoring
Cuiaba
9W · 1D · 0LRecent →DWWWWWWWWW
Momentum index
Luverdense
5W · 2D · 5LRecent →DWWWLDLLWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Cuiaba
28 pts90% wins
9W · 1D · 0L · 10 played
For26
Against4
Luverdense
17 pts42% wins
5W · 2D · 5L · 12 played
For12
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cuiaba offensive edge
Cuiaba's attack (65%) vs Luverdense's defense (22%).
+43 - Luverdense offensive edge
Luverdense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-43
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cuiabacompact defense · hot form
Luverdenselow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Cuiaba75%
1Draws
0Luverdense0%