Goal expectancy
1.51Expected goals0.93
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Cuiaba 5-0 Nova Mutum EC Prediction
Balanced — model leans Cuiaba
Estimated win chances: Cuiaba 50.8%, draw 26%, Nova Mutum Ec 23.2%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
68Hot streakCuiaba
Weighted momentum
Cuiaba carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
43MixedNova Mutum Ec
Cuiaba · compact defense · hot formNova Mutum Ec · low scoring
Cuiaba
2W · 3D · 0LRecent →WWDDD
Momentum index
Nova Mutum Ec
2W · 1D · 2LRecent →LWDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuiaba +2
Cuiaba
9 pts40% wins
2W · 3D · 0L · 5 played
For6
Against3
Nova Mutum Ec
7 pts40% wins
2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played
For4
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cuiaba offensive edge
Cuiaba's attack (60%) vs Nova Mutum Ec's defense (27%).
+33 - Nova Mutum Ec offensive edge
Nova Mutum Ec runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cuiabacompact defense · hot form
Nova Mutum Eclow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Cuiaba40%
2Draws
1Nova Mutum Ec20%