Cuiaba 1-1 Salgueiro Prediction

CuiabaCuiaba
1 — 1FT
SalgueiroSalgueiro

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Cuiaba 37.3%, draw 25.9%, Salgueiro 36.8%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.35Expected goals1.34

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

35Cold spellCuiaba
Weighted momentum

Salgueiro arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).

51MixedSalgueiro
Cuiaba · low scoring · cold form

Cuiaba

1W · 4D · 3L
Recent →WLDDDLLD
Momentum index

Salgueiro

3W · 3D · 2L
Recent →DWDWLLDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSalgueiro +5

Cuiaba

7 pts
13% wins

1W · 4D · 3L · 8 played

For
6
Against
9
Goal diff -3

Salgueiro

12 pts
38% wins

3W · 3D · 2L · 8 played

For
16
Against
12
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cuiaba offensive edge

    Cuiaba faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -9
  • Salgueiro offensive edge

    Salgueiro's attack (71%) vs Cuiaba's defense (62%).

    +9

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cuiaba29
Salgueiro71

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cuiaba62
Salgueiro38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cuiaba35
Salgueiro51

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cuiaba32
Salgueiro68

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cuiaba30
Salgueiro30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cuiaba43
Salgueiro57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cuiaba0
Salgueiro0
Cuiabalow scoring · cold form