Goal expectancy
1.62Expected goals1.17
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Cusco 1-0 Union Comercio Prediction
Balanced — model leans Cusco
Estimated win chances: Cusco 47.8%, draw 24.6%, Union Comercio 27.6%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedCusco
Weighted momentum
Cusco carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
24Cold spellUnion Comercio
Union Comercio · High-risk / fragile
Cusco
3W · 2D · 3LRecent →LWDLWLDW
Momentum index
Union Comercio
1W · 2D · 5LRecent →LDWLLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCusco +6
Cusco
11 pts38% wins
3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played
For9
Against11
Union Comercio
5 pts13% wins
1W · 2D · 5L · 8 played
For9
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Cusco offensive edge
Cusco's attack (45%) vs Union Comercio's defense (35%).
+10 - Union Comercio offensive edge
Union Comercio runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Union ComercioHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Cusco100%
0Draws
0Union Comercio0%