Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.48
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Varde
Estimated win chances: Dalum 34.5%, draw 25.1%, Varde 40.4%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
9Cold spellDalum
Weighted momentum
Varde arrives with stronger form weighting (+60 momentum).
69Hot streakVarde
Dalum · High-risk / fragileVarde · hot form
Dalum
1W · 1D · 6LRecent →LLLLLDLW
Momentum index
Varde
4W · 2D · 2LRecent →WWDWWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVarde +10
Dalum
4 pts13% wins
1W · 1D · 6L · 8 played
For7
Against16
Varde
14 pts50% wins
4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played
For13
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dalum offensive edge
Dalum faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40 - Varde offensive edge
Varde's attack (69%) vs Dalum's defense (29%).
+40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
DalumHigh-risk / fragile
Vardehot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Dalum100%
0Draws
0Varde0%