Danubio 0-1 Defensor Sporting Prediction

DanubioDanubio
0 — 1FT
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

DanubioDanubiovsDefensor SportingDefensor Sporting

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Defensor Sporting

Estimated win chances: Danubio 33.9%, draw 25.4%, Defensor Sporting 40.7%. From 10 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.31Expected goals1.46

From 10 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–29%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–18.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

57BuildingDanubio
Weighted momentum

Defensor Sporting arrives with stronger form weighting (+30 momentum).

87Hot streakDefensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting · compact defense · hot form

Danubio

4W · 4D · 2L
Recent →DWWLWLWDDD
Momentum index

Defensor Sporting

7W · 2D · 0L
Recent →WWWDWWWDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Danubio

16 pts
40% wins

4W · 4D · 2L · 10 played

For
13
Against
12
Goal diff +1

Defensor Sporting

23 pts
78% wins

7W · 2D · 0L · 9 played

For
21
Against
8
Goal diff +13

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Danubio offensive edge

    Danubio faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -10
  • Defensor Sporting offensive edge

    Defensor Sporting's attack (70%) vs Danubio's defense (60%).

    +10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Danubio30
Defensor Sporting70

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Danubio60
Defensor Sporting40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Danubio57
Defensor Sporting87

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Danubio30
Defensor Sporting70

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Danubio30
Defensor Sporting30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Danubio43
Defensor Sporting57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Danubio0
Defensor Sporting0
Defensor Sportingcompact defense · hot form