Goal expectancy
1.32Expected goals1.39
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Danubio 1-1 Defensor Sporting Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Danubio 35.5%, draw 25.7%, Defensor Sporting 38.7%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellDanubio
Weighted momentum
Defensor Sporting arrives with stronger form weighting (+31 momentum).
58BuildingDefensor Sporting
Danubio · cold formDefensor Sporting · compact defense
Danubio
3W · 5D · 6LRecent →LLLLDLWDWDWLDD
Momentum index
Defensor Sporting
6W · 6D · 2LRecent →DWDLDWWWDWDWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDefensor Sporting +10
Danubio
14 pts21% wins
3W · 5D · 6L · 14 played
For19
Against18
Defensor Sporting
24 pts43% wins
6W · 6D · 2L · 14 played
For26
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Danubio offensive edge
Danubio faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-44 - Defensor Sporting offensive edge
Defensor Sporting's attack (80%) vs Danubio's defense (36%).
+44
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Danubiocold form
Defensor Sportingcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Danubio0%
1Draws
0Defensor Sporting0%