De Graafschap 2-2 Excelsior Prediction

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
2 — 2FT
ExcelsiorExcelsior
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

De GraafschapDe GraafschapvsExcelsiorExcelsior

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans De Graafschap

Estimated win chances: De Graafschap 45.3%, draw 23.8%, Excelsior 30.9%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.68Expected goals1.35

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–07.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

19Cold spellDe Graafschap
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

19Cold spellExcelsior
De Graafschap · High-risk / fragileExcelsior · High-risk / fragile

De Graafschap

5W · 5D · 22L
Recent →DLLWLLLLLLWLLDLLLLWLLLWDLLLWLDDL
Momentum index

Excelsior

4W · 6D · 22L
Recent →LLLLLLWLLLDLWLWLLDLDDWLLDLLLLDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapDe Graafschap +2

De Graafschap

20 pts
16% wins

5W · 5D · 22L · 32 played

For
29
Against
69
Goal diff -40

Excelsior

18 pts
13% wins

4W · 6D · 22L · 32 played

For
25
Against
71
Goal diff -46

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • De Graafschap offensive edge

    De Graafschap's attack (64%) vs Excelsior's defense (43%).

    +21
  • Excelsior offensive edge

    Excelsior runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -21

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

De Graafschap64
Excelsior36

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

De Graafschap57
Excelsior43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

De Graafschap19
Excelsior19

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

De Graafschap92
Excelsior8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

De Graafschap45
Excelsior45

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

De Graafschap100
Excelsior0

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

De Graafschap71
Excelsior29
De GraafschapHigh-risk / fragile
ExcelsiorHigh-risk / fragile