Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.97
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
De Graafschap 1-3 PSV Eindhoven Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Psv Eindhoven
Estimated win chances: De Graafschap 24%, draw 21.8%, Psv Eindhoven 54.1%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellDe Graafschap
Weighted momentum
Psv Eindhoven arrives with stronger form weighting (+46 momentum).
71Hot streakPsv Eindhoven
De Graafschap · High-risk / fragilePsv Eindhoven · hot form
De Graafschap
2W · 3D · 7LRecent →LLWDLLLWLDDL
Momentum index
Psv Eindhoven
7W · 4D · 1LRecent →WDDWWWDDWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPsv Eindhoven +16
De Graafschap
9 pts17% wins
2W · 3D · 7L · 12 played
For11
Against26
Psv Eindhoven
25 pts58% wins
7W · 4D · 1L · 12 played
For33
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- De Graafschap offensive edge
De Graafschap faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40 - Psv Eindhoven offensive edge
Psv Eindhoven's attack (71%) vs De Graafschap's defense (31%).
+40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
De GraafschapHigh-risk / fragile
Psv Eindhovenhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1De Graafschap50%
1Draws
0Psv Eindhoven0%