Goal expectancy
1.27Expected goals1.40
From 6 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Decisão 0-1 Serra Branca Prediction
Balanced — model leans Serra Branca
Estimated win chances: Decisão 34%, draw 25.9%, Serra Branca 40%. From 6 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
21Cold spellDecisão
Weighted momentum
Serra Branca arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
45MixedSerra Branca
Decisão · High-risk / fragile
Decisão
1W · 1D · 4LRecent →LLWLLD
Momentum index
Serra Branca
2W · 4D · 1LRecent →LDWDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Decisão
4 pts17% wins
1W · 1D · 4L · 6 played
For6
Against12
Serra Branca
10 pts29% wins
2W · 4D · 1L · 7 played
For10
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Decisão offensive edge
Decisão faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-31 - Serra Branca offensive edge
Serra Branca's attack (58%) vs Decisão's defense (27%).
+31
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
DecisãoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Decisão100%
0Draws
0Serra Branca0%