Goal expectancy
1.66Expected goals0.99
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensor Sporting 1-1 Cerro Prediction
Balanced — model leans Defensor Sporting
Estimated win chances: Defensor Sporting 53.1%, draw 24.4%, Cerro 22.5%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
76Hot streakDefensor Sporting
Weighted momentum
Defensor Sporting carries the sharper recent run (+43 momentum).
33Cold spellCerro
Defensor Sporting · compact defense · hot formCerro · low scoring · cold form
Defensor Sporting
5W · 3D · 1LRecent →WWWDWDWDL
Momentum index
Cerro
2W · 3D · 4LRecent →DLWLDLDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDefensor Sporting +9
Defensor Sporting
18 pts56% wins
5W · 3D · 1L · 9 played
For18
Against8
Cerro
9 pts22% wins
2W · 3D · 4L · 9 played
For9
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Defensor Sporting offensive edge
Defensor Sporting's attack (76%) vs Cerro's defense (25%).
+51 - Cerro offensive edge
Cerro runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-51
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Defensor Sportingcompact defense · hot form
Cerrolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Defensor Sporting0%
0Draws
2Cerro100%