Defensor Sporting 2-1 Cerro Largo Prediction

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
2 — 1FT
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Defensor SportingDefensor SportingvsCerro LargoCerro Largo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Defensor Sporting

Estimated win chances: Defensor Sporting 49.4%, draw 23.6%, Cerro Largo 27.1%. From 10 and 11 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.74Expected goals1.23

From 10 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–110%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 1–27%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

89Hot streakDefensor Sporting
Weighted momentum

Defensor Sporting carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).

72Hot streakCerro Largo
Defensor Sporting · compact defense · hot formCerro Largo · hot form

Defensor Sporting

8W · 2D · 0L
Recent →WWWWDWWWDW
Momentum index

Cerro Largo

7W · 1D · 3L
Recent →WWLWWWLWLWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Defensor Sporting

26 pts
80% wins

8W · 2D · 0L · 10 played

For
22
Against
8
Goal diff +14

Cerro Largo

22 pts
64% wins

7W · 1D · 3L · 11 played

For
21
Against
13
Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Defensor Sporting offensive edge

    Defensor Sporting's attack (58%) vs Cerro Largo's defense (50%).

    +8
  • Cerro Largo offensive edge

    Cerro Largo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -8

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Defensor Sporting58
Cerro Largo42

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Defensor Sporting50
Cerro Largo50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Defensor Sporting89
Cerro Largo72

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Defensor Sporting66
Cerro Largo34

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Defensor Sporting30
Cerro Largo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Defensor Sporting52
Cerro Largo48

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Defensor Sporting0
Cerro Largo0
Defensor Sportingcompact defense · hot form
Cerro Largohot form